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dam-l (Fwd) LS: DEVELOPMENT-INDOCHINA: RECESSION PUTS BRAKES ON MEG




------- Forwarded Message Follows -------
Date sent:      	Wed, 21 Apr 1999 18:45:01 -0700
From:           	Aviva Imhof <aviva@irn.org>
Subject:        	LS: DEVELOPMENT-INDOCHINA: RECESSION PUTS BRAKES ON
 	MEGAPROJECTS
To:             	irn-mekong@igc.org

>
>Date: 04/16/99 20:15 EST
>
>DEVELOPMENT-INDOCHINA: RECESSION PUTS BRAKES ON MEGAPROJECTS
>By Boonthan Sakanond 
>
>BANGKOK, (Apr. 16) IPS - Seven years after Asian governments and 
>international bodies called it a potential treasure trove of 
>economic growth, the Mekong Basin area remains what it has been for
>centuries: abundant but untapped. 
>
>While foreign investors blame the slow pace of development on red 
>tape and lack of investment, for environmentalists the lack of 
>'progress' is a sign of hope that the Mekong can still escape the 
>ravages of ecologically disastrous industrialization seen across 
>South-east Asia. 
>
>At a recent symposium on the 'Comprehensive Development of the 
>Greater Mekong Subregion' here, representatives mostly from the 
>private sector, government and regional funding agencies complained that
>the Asian economic crisis had further put off chances of rapid growth for
>the Mekong Basin. 
>
>The concept of the Greater Mekong Subregion growth area -- 
>encompassing Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, Thailand, Burma and the 
>Chinese province of Yunnan -- was first mooted in 1992 by 
>proponents like businessmen and financial institutions. 
>
>It was intended to benefit 237 million people living in an area of 
>2.3 million sq km. 
>
>&quot;The Asian economic crisis has adversely affected Greater Mekong
>development projects since struggling Asian countries -- especially
>Thailand -- are the most active business partners of those
>involved,&quot; said Peter Warr of the Australian National University and
>a expert on the Indochinese economies. 
>
>Thailand's per capita income is roughly 10 times that of most 
>Indochinese countries, which are heavily dependent on it in trade 
>and investment. 
>
>The investment and demand for imports from Thailand have fallen 
>dramatically since the crisis began in mid-1997. 
>
>Thai banks, now in deep trouble over non-performing loans at home, 
>have been the main source of financial liquidity for businesses 
>in Laos, Burma and Cambodia since the early nineties. 
>
>&quot;ASEAN (the Association of South-east Asian Nations) accounts for 70
>percent of the total investment in Vietnam and 60 percent of Vietnam's
>total trade,&quot; pointed out Dao Tuan Dung, manager of the ASEAN
>department at the Vietnam Chamber of Commerce and Industry. 
>
>He says the Asian crisis has already cut Vietnam's exports, whose 
>growth plunged to slightly more than 2 percent in 1998 from more 
>than 20 percent in the previous year. 
>
>Those attending the Bangkok symposium expressed fears that crisis' 
>effects threaten to impede much of the progress in economic 
>cooperation among the six Greater Mekong countries. 
>
>Due to political instability and civil war in much of Indochina in 
>the 1970s and 1980s, its economic potential has been recognised 
>only since the early nineties. 
>
>The Asian crisis has also affected the long-term projects planned 
>in the Mekong Basin. Much of development potential there lies 
>around the 4,200 kilometer-long Mekong river, whose vast waters can be
>tapped for a variety of large projects. 
>
>The Manila-based Asian Development Bank (AsDB) has been a major 
>force behind the grand plans to develop infrastructure in the 
>Mekong basin, viewing it as one of the last economic frontiers in 
>the region. 
>
>Since 1992, it has invested more than 300 million dollars in 
>studies and projects for developing tourism, agro-industries, 
>export processing zones and small-scale businesses. 
>
>Reflecting keen interest in the Mekong area, the Japanese 
>government too has between 1993 and 1997 poured in more than 3.8 
>billion dollars in aid to Thailand, Cambodia, Laos and Vietnam. 
>
>But environmentalists worry about the emphasis of donor agencies, 
>governments and banks on mega-projects that take little 
>consideration of their negative impact on the region's pristine 
>ecology and livelihood of ordinary people. 
>
>Particularly controversial are a series of massive hydro- electric 
>power projects planned along the Mekong, which activists say will 
>displace thousands of local folk, destroy their way of life and 
>disturb the ecological balance irreversibly. 
>
>According to the AsDB, by 2010 the Greater Mekong area will need 
>an additional 57,000 megawatts of energy that can be raised at an 
>investment cost of 100 billion dollars. 
>
>AsDB studies have already identified eight hydropower and two oil 
>and natural gas energy generation projects that have been endorsed 
>by the six countries in the Greater Mekong. 
>
>&quot;Fifty million residents and countless river and floodplain biota of
>the Mekong Basin depend on the Mekong's annual flood- drought cycle and
>all the natural functions driven by this process,&quot; said Aviva Imhof
>of AID Watch, an international NGO that monitors the activities of large
>donor agencies. 
>
>&quot;Planned water resource developments threaten the integrity of this
>system on a grand scale,&quot; she added. 
>
>Environmentalists argue that the cumulative impact of the various 
>dam projects could cause drastic alterations of natural flow 
>patterns along the Mekong. 
>
>They say the frequency of floods will decrease, affecting thousand 
>of hectares of agricultural land which depend on annual flooding 
>for irrigation and deposits of fertile soil. 
>
>&quot;Fisheries are the most vulnerable aspect of the Mekong river 
>ecology. The proposed dams will block fish migration and cause a 
>dramatic decline in fisheries throughout the lower Mekong river,&quot;
>added an activist with Towards Ecological Recovery and Regional Alliance
>(TERRA), a Bangkok-based NGO. 
>
>He says the resulting disruption could plunge large numbers of 
>people into total poverty and negate any economic gains accruing 
>from the large hydropower projects. 
>
>In ecological terms too, the dams are considered disastrous. 
>
>The $1.2 billion Nam Theun 2 dam project in Laos, for example, is 
>expected to flood more than 450 sq km in the Nakai Plateau in the 
>highlands near Laos' border with Vietnam. 
>
>But what has really been stalling governments from going ahead with the
>megaprojects is lack of funds due to the Asian crisis. 
>
>With the collapse of South-east Asian economies, the neo- socialist
>governments in Indochina are having second thoughts about rushing into
>unsustainable development projects. 
>
>Several large dam projects have already been pared down or put on 
>hold due to falling energy demand in Thailand, the region's main 
>market for the product. 
>
>Surprisingly at the Mekong symposium here, a word of caution 
>against rushing development projects came from Thailand, long been 
>accused by NGOs of imposing its own model of free-wheeling 
>capitalist development onto Indochina. 
>
>&quot;Development must be pursued in a balanced way such that politics,
>social welfare, environmental concerns are given equal attention as
>economic performance,&quot; said Thai Foreign Minister Surin Pitsuwan.
>
>


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Aviva Imhof
South-East Asia Campaigner
International Rivers Network
1847 Berkeley Way, Berkeley CA 94703 USA
Tel: + 1 510 848 1155 (ext. 312), Fax: + 1 510 848 1008
Email: aviva@irn.org, Web: http://www.irn.org
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Dianne Murray, Coordinator/Webmistress
Dam-Reservoir Working Group; Ottawa, Canada
Dam-Reservoir Impacts and Information Archive
http://www.sandelman.ottawa.on.ca/dams